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This chapter details the common biophysical approach used to assess the impact of climate change on local crop production and critiques it to highlight usefulness and limitations in informing climate change response action. The chapter reviews various location-specific climate change impact studies in southern Africa and details their results in the context of the methodologies and tools applied. Ultimately lessons for improvements in future research are drawn. The chapter advocates future...
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Concern over future food security in southern Africa has led to various studies that assess the impact of climate change on crops in the region. The results vary according to applied methods and tools. This study reviewed and consolidated results from 19 recent studies which quantitatively project the impact of climate change on crops for the 21st century in southern Africa. Results were assessed according to crop modelling techniques, which included process-based, statistical and economic...
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The unpredictable rains and droughts in the Kigezi Highlands of Uganda have been attributed to a changing climate. This chapter presents findings of a study that explored the adaptation and coping strategies under climate change and variability in the Kigezi Highlands by rural farmers for enhanced agricultural productivity and conservation of natural resources. The chapter particularly explores perceptions of rural farmers of climate change and variability, the types of crops they grow, and...
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Climate change impact assessments on agriculture in Southern Africa are mostly carried out at large spatial scales, risking missing out on local impacts and adaptation potential that reflect the range of multiple and unique bio-physical and agronomic conditions under which farmers in the region operate. This study investigated how climate change may affect yields of various major food crops in specific locations in the region; maize and sorghum (Mohale’s Hoek – Lesotho and Big Bend –...
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The impact of climate-change disasters poses significant challenges for South Africa, especially for vulnerable rural households. In South Africa, the impact of climate change at the local level, especially in rural areas, is not well known. Rural households are generally poor and lack resources to adapt to and mitigate the impact of climate change, but the extent of their vulnerability is largely not understood. This study looked at the micro-level impact of climate change, evaluated...
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Climate change is expected to impact east Africa in the coming decades, with an overall warming trend, but much is still uncertain. Climate researchers working in this field aim to quantify, understand and reduce this uncertainty. On a five to 40 year timescale, climate projections are uncertain because the models used to predict the expected response from greenhouse gas emissions cannot capture all the relevant processes sufficiently well. In addition, many of the standard climate models do...